In crypto, people love shouting “new cycle!”, “we’re about to moon!”, but the truth is simple: Solana never begins a real new cycle without deep market cleansing.
And right now, we are not even close to the conditions required for a legitimate bullish phase.
1. Current situation: Solana looks stable, but it’s not the bottom
Yes, the price is holding above local support, but:
buyers are weak volumes are dominated by sellers the market is painting artificial stability every bounce looks technical, not structural
This is the classic phase of pressure build-up, where traders convince themselves “the bottom is in,” but the market provides zero confirmation.
2. Solana will not start a new cycle without capitulation
In every previous Solana cycle (and in crypto overall), the same pattern repeats:
mass liquidations stop-loss sweeps below obvious areas sharp downward wicks emotional exhaustion among traders
It is painful, but it is essential.
Without this stage, the market never provides a real bullish reversal.
A new Solana cycle begins not with growth, but with a deep flush of leveraged long positions.
3. The key level: 106 USD
Until Solana wicks into the 106 USD zone, it is too early to talk about a new cycle.
Why 106?
it contains major liquidity huge clusters of stop orders sit below it margin liquidations accumulate there it is the “sweet spot’’ for market makers without sweeping this level, true accumulation cannot begin
This wick may be brief, fast, and violent — even a tenth of a second.
But this is precisely how major bullish cycles historically begin: through fear and forced liquidation.
4. Only after 106 USD can Solana form a true reversal
Once a deep sweep occurs:
the market resets weak hands are removed overleveraged positions are cleared space opens for institutional accumulation
Only then can Solana begin building a real bullish structure.
Before that, every bounce is just noise.
5. Predictions claiming “the Solana cycle already started” are misleading
The reality is:
Solana has not completed its cleansing phase the key liquidity pocket remains untouched structural confirmation of the cycle is absent
Crypto does not rise on optimism.
It rises after capitulation.
And until Solana tests 106 USD, this is not a new cycle. It is merely the preface to one.
Conclusion
Solana is preparing for a major move, but not upward.
First comes cleansing. Then comes the cycle.
The 106 USD zone is the defining marker. When Solana touches it, we can finally talk about a real trend shift.
Until then, the market is simply tightening the spring.
And when it finally releases, it will catch most traders off-guard.





