• In crypto, people love shouting “new cycle!”, “we’re about to moon!”, but the truth is simple: Solana never begins a real new cycle without deep market cleansing.

    And right now, we are not even close to the conditions required for a legitimate bullish phase.

    1. Current situation: Solana looks stable, but it’s not the bottom

    Yes, the price is holding above local support, but:

    buyers are weak volumes are dominated by sellers the market is painting artificial stability every bounce looks technical, not structural

    This is the classic phase of pressure build-up, where traders convince themselves “the bottom is in,” but the market provides zero confirmation.

    2. Solana will not start a new cycle without capitulation

    In every previous Solana cycle (and in crypto overall), the same pattern repeats:

    mass liquidations stop-loss sweeps below obvious areas sharp downward wicks emotional exhaustion among traders

    It is painful, but it is essential.

    Without this stage, the market never provides a real bullish reversal.

    A new Solana cycle begins not with growth, but with a deep flush of leveraged long positions.

    3. The key level: 106 USD

    Until Solana wicks into the 106 USD zone, it is too early to talk about a new cycle.

    Why 106?

    it contains major liquidity huge clusters of stop orders sit below it margin liquidations accumulate there it is the “sweet spot’’ for market makers without sweeping this level, true accumulation cannot begin

    This wick may be brief, fast, and violent — even a tenth of a second.

    But this is precisely how major bullish cycles historically begin: through fear and forced liquidation.

    4. Only after 106 USD can Solana form a true reversal

    Once a deep sweep occurs:

    the market resets weak hands are removed overleveraged positions are cleared space opens for institutional accumulation

    Only then can Solana begin building a real bullish structure.

    Before that, every bounce is just noise.

    5. Predictions claiming “the Solana cycle already started” are misleading

    The reality is:

    Solana has not completed its cleansing phase the key liquidity pocket remains untouched structural confirmation of the cycle is absent

    Crypto does not rise on optimism.

    It rises after capitulation.

    And until Solana tests 106 USD, this is not a new cycle. It is merely the preface to one.

    Conclusion

    Solana is preparing for a major move, but not upward.

    First comes cleansing. Then comes the cycle.

    The 106 USD zone is the defining marker. When Solana touches it, we can finally talk about a real trend shift.

    Until then, the market is simply tightening the spring.

    And when it finally releases, it will catch most traders off-guard.

  • Nothing in crypto surprises anyone anymore, but selling the token of a blockchain that doesn’t even exist yet is extreme even by Web3 standards. Monad is presented as a “Solana from the future that hasn’t arrived,” Coinbase plays the role of a bank wearing a decentralization costume, and retail, as always, is the one expected to sponsor someone’s new luxury car.

    What is Monad? Essentially, it is a PowerPoint presentation being sold for billions. There is no mainnet, no real transactions, no gas fees, no TVL, no users, no ecosystem — nothing. Yet the token is already for sale. If they were selling a cardboard box with the words “work in progress” on it, it would actually be more honest.

    What exactly is being sold? A concept, slides, a promise of the future, the idea of “the next Solana,” and retail FOMO. It is a perfect replay of 2017, only this time executed through Coinbase to make it look more respectable.

    Coinbase is fully involved. They launched Token Sales and needed a headline project to kick it off. Monad, with their “the blockchain exists in our mind,” fit perfectly. From there, it’s onboarding new investors and monetizing retail optimism.

    A 2.5 billion FDV for something that doesn’t exist is no longer crypto — it’s modern art. Solana in 2020 had a smaller valuation, and even Aptos and Sui launched with real blockchains. Monad is selling a token while having only a testnet — a sandbox, a playground — yet the market cap is already set in the billions.

    The comparison with ChainGPT is almost comedic: at least ChainGPT has a product interface. Monad, meanwhile, doesn’t do anything: it cannot handle orders, cannot process transactions, cannot support wallets. But it can be sold. It is like paying for a gym membership before the gym is even built.

    From the market’s perspective, the situation looks surreal: a token for a non-existent network is pushed by Coinbase, retail is buying, and FDV is 2.5 billion. The market simply shrugs and says: this is normal now.

    Why do they do it? Because they can. Venture funds entered early, and now they need hype, a listing, liquidity, and exit liquidity. Retail enters last, as always. And retail dreams, as always: “What if this is the next Solana? What if it does X10?” Maybe. Or maybe it becomes the next Sui.

    What is the difference between Monad and Solana? Solana exists, functions, fails, recovers, has survived disasters, grown after collapses, and maintains a massive ecosystem with real usage. Monad has marketing, a token, a PDF, and a token sale.

    CryptoMama verdict: Monad is the crypto equivalent of preordering a video game that hasn’t been developed yet but is already sold at full price. Coinbase helps because it wants commission revenue, a new trend to showcase, and a flashy product for their new launchpad. The market accepts it because it wants a new shiny toy.

    Is there money to be made? Yes. You can take a minimal allocation, catch a hype-driven spike, make X2, and exit before unlocks. But it is speculation, not investment. Not a fundamental play. Not “the new Solana.” It is an attractive box filled with nothing but air and aggressive promises.

    Final verdict for CryptoMama: Monad is like buying a bridge that hasn’t been built yet. They show you a sketch, ask you to believe, and price it like it’s the Golden Gate. If you enter smartly, you can profit, but only if you know the difference between hype, hustle, and opportunity.

  • The Global Economy Is on Pause — Before a New Cycle of Debt and Deception

    The world is still breathing after inflation shocks, wars, and geopolitical madness — but the real game hasn’t even begun.

    Despite political rhetoric, the threads of the global economy remain firmly in the hands of the US and Europe.

    Even China — the “wise player” — is still in their game, just playing slower.

    1. The US and Europe — The Heart of the System

    The US prints the money, Europe controls its circulation, and the rest of the world adjusts.

    Real US GDP growth is around 2%, Europe’s a bit less.

    This doesn’t mean growth — it means survival inside a managed coma.

    When America slows down, the rest simply synchronize downward.

    Global “stability” is just a polite way of saying slow decline.

    2. China — The Silent Power

    China doesn’t seek confrontation — it’s playing the war of time:

    Buying up debts across Africa and Asia Accumulating gold Preparing to replace the dollar through trade blocs

    Beijing doesn’t want to destroy the US — it wants to wait until America collapses under its own debt.

    3. The War with Russia — An Economic Instrument

    War isn’t only about the battlefield. It’s about money flow control.

    The West found a legitimate reason to inject new life into the military-industrial complex,

    create jobs, and heat the economy without open money printing.

    Russia is just a tool to keep the Western employment machine alive.

    4. The Illusion of Stability

    Interest rates remain high:

    US — 5.5%

    UK — 5.25%

    EU — 4.5%

    People can’t take cheap loans,

    which means less capital flows into crypto, gold, and risk assets.

    This is the calm before the next liquidity wave.

    5. The New Trap: “Crypto = Mortgage 2.0”

    If you think 2008 can’t repeat — look again.

    Then, loans were issued against houses.

    Now, they’re preparing to issue loans against crypto.

    DeFi platforms like Aave and Compound

    already show how this model could scale globally.

    If Bitcoin drops by 30–40%,

    these collateral chains could wipe out entire investor segments.

    6. CryptoMama’s Forecast

    2025 — artificial stability, banks keep markets tight

    2026 — rate cuts, liquidity returns, bull run begins

    2027–2028 — crypto-backed loans, new euphoria, “everyone’s rich again”

    2029 — Crypto Mortgage Crash, when the bubble of trust bursts like housing once did

    The world doesn’t learn — it just changes instruments.

    Before, it was banks. Now it’s blockchain.

    But the rule stays the same: you’re either in the game, or you’re the collateral.

    Author: CryptoMama

    Marta — Market Breakdown & Forecasts

    #GlobalEconomy #CryptoForecast #WarEconomy #Bitcoin2025 #FinancialCycle #CryptoCrash #IMF #UkraineEconomy #EconomicTrends #CryptoMamaAnalysis #DeFiRisks #FinanceTikTok

  • Why Ukraine’s Economy Can’t Be Broken — Even by War

    When economists look at Ukraine, they face a paradox.

    How can a country that has lost millions of people, factories, ports, and power plants still show positive GDP growth, moderate inflation, and an active export market?

    The answer is simple: Ukraine’s economy isn’t a system — it’s a survival instinct.

    1. The Survival Economy

    Ukraine operates on a minimal yet stable level.

    Most businesses aren’t chasing profits — they’re fighting to stay alive.

    This creates what analysts call “stable instability”: there’s simply nowhere lower to fall.

    2. 40% in the Shadows

    Roughly half of Ukraine’s economy runs in the grey zone — cash payments, crypto, informal jobs, volunteer networks.

    While this would crash most Western economies, in Ukraine it acts as a natural stabilizer.

    The shadow economy keeps circulation alive when the formal one falters.

    3. Adaptive Capitalism

    Ukrainians reinvent themselves faster than the market can collapse.

    Lose an office — open a coffee van.

    Lose clients — move to Telegram or Etsy.

    This rapid behavioral shift has created a model some analysts call “adaptive capitalism.”

    4. Global Financial Support

    Grants, humanitarian aid, credit lines, and military funding have formed a cushion no other war-torn economy has ever had.

    Ukraine is, paradoxically, both a country at war and an investment opportunity.

    5. The Psychological Phoenix

    This economy doesn’t just run on numbers — it runs on resilience.

    After the 1990s, two revolutions, annexations, and a pandemic, the fear of collapse simply vanished.

    When survival is in your DNA, markets react not with panic — but with action.

    The Bigger Picture

    According to the IMF, Ukraine’s 2025 outlook shows +2.0% GDP growth and 12.6% inflation.

    Anywhere else, that would be a warning sign.

    For Ukraine, it’s proof that even under extreme pressure, the system not only survives — it evolves.

    While other economies fear recession, Ukraine keeps working, trading, building, and adapting.

    That’s what real strength looks like.

  • Russia’s economy in 2025 looks stable — but only on the surface.

    The ruble still trades, the Moscow Exchange still functions, and banks report profits. Yet this stability is manufactured.

    Behind the numbers lies a system that funds itself, hides its weaknesses, and survives not through productivity, but through war.

    The Self-Financing Machine

    Since 2022, Russia has operated a closed financial loop.

    The Ministry of Finance issues bonds, and state-controlled banks like Sberbank and VTB buy them using liquidity provided by the Central Bank — liquidity that is effectively printed money.

    This creates a self-financing economy:

    Banks buy government debt. The government spends the proceeds on defense, subsidies, and bureaucracy. The Central Bank issues more rubles to keep the wheel turning.

    No external investors. No competition. No real growth.

    The system feeds on itself, producing the illusion of economic motion — but not progress.

    Artificial Stability and the Illusion of Growth

    The government maintains the appearance of growth through war-driven spending.

    Factories are busy, not because demand exists, but because the state orders tanks and drones.

    Employment looks stable only because military contracts keep millions of workers technically “hired.”

    In macroeconomic reports, this appears as GDP growth — but it’s inflationary spending disguised as production.

    This pseudo-growth is financed by massive deficits — more than 3 trillion rubles — explained away as “necessary war costs.”

    Without the war, such deficits would trigger panic. With the war, they look patriotic.

    Public Distrust and Financial Isolation

    The Russian population no longer participates in the banking system as savers or investors.

    After sanctions cut access to foreign currencies, people withdrew their savings and turned to gold, real estate, or crypto.

    Foreign-currency deposits have dropped by over 70%, while ruble deposits remain short-term and unstable.

    The result: banks are sustained not by people, but by the state.

    And the state is sustained by the very same banks.

    It’s a financial ouroboros — the system eating its own tail.

    Why the War Cannot Stop

    From an economic perspective, Russia can no longer afford peace.

    Ending the war would immediately expose the fragile structure of its finances:

    Defense factories would shut down, creating mass unemployment. Banks would lose their main source of income — military contracts and government bonds. The deficit would remain, but the justification for it would disappear. The illusion of “stability” would collapse overnight.

    In short: the war is not just political — it’s the last pillar holding the economy upright.

    The Trump Factor and the Logic of Refusal

    When Western politicians hinted at a potential “deal” — particularly under Trump’s administration — Putin had every rational reason to reject it.

    Accepting peace would have meant:

    allowing transparency and financial auditing; reopening to global markets (and revealing the real fiscal data); admitting that the so-called “resilience” was a controlled illusion.

    For the Kremlin, that’s far riskier than continuing the conflict.

    Because the moment the guns fall silent, the books must be opened.

    And those books are empty.

    The Russian leadership understands that the war narrative is not just about territory — it’s an economic shield.

    As long as the country is “fighting,” every problem has a ready-made excuse: inflation, shortages, or falling living standards.

    Peace, on the other hand, would remove that shield — and expose the rot beneath.

    The Countdown to Structural Failure

    This model can survive for only so long.

    Analysts estimate that Russia has 12 to 18 months before the self-financing loop reaches its natural limit.

    When banks can no longer absorb new government debt, or inflation finally erodes public confidence in the ruble, the cycle breaks.

    There won’t be a loud crash.

    There will be a slow suffocation — credit drying up, rubles losing real value, industries collapsing in silence.

    The shell of stability will remain, but the economy inside will be hollow.

    Conclusion

    Russia’s economic “strength” is an illusion built on war spending, propaganda, and closed financial circuits.

    It looks solid because no one is allowed to measure it from the outside.

    But every illusion has a limit — and this one is approaching fast.

    In the end, the Russian economy won’t collapse with a bang.

    It will quietly sink under the weight of its own contradictions —

    a state that replaced growth with conflict, and truth with control.

    ✍️ CryptoMama | Global Market Psychology & Economic Analysis

    Explaining how nations survive when money runs out.

  • In 2025, Russia’s economy looks deceptively stable. The ruble trades, banks report profits, and government bonds keep finding buyers. But beneath this façade lies a system that is neither growing nor free. It’s self-financing — a closed loop where the state, banks, and corporations recycle the same rubles to maintain an illusion of stability. That illusion, by most indicators, has less than two years left.

    The Closed Loop of Money

    With foreign investors long gone and sanctions cutting access to global capital, the Russian government funds itself internally. The Ministry of Finance issues bonds (OFZs), and state-controlled banks such as Sberbank and VTB buy them. The Central Bank of Russia supports this by injecting liquidity — essentially printing new rubles so the banks can purchase even more government debt.

    On paper, it looks like financial health. In reality, it’s the state borrowing from itself, with no external inflow of real investment. The same rubles circulate endlessly between ministries and banks, while productive sectors receive little to no funding.

    This cycle keeps the system alive but stagnant — a patient on life support, not a recovering one.

    Public Distrust and the Flight from Banks

    Ordinary Russians are not part of this cycle. The public’s trust in banks has collapsed since 2022. With foreign currencies disappearing from the system, depositors withdrew savings and turned to gold, crypto, or real estate as stores of value.

    Foreign-currency deposits have fallen by over 70%. Ruble deposits are short-term, defensive, and frequently moved. The result: banks rely on state liquidity, not on citizens’ savings.

    For households, high interest rates — now above 20% — make borrowing nearly impossible. Mortgages have slowed to a crawl, and consumer lending has dropped sharply. Russians don’t invest or borrow — they survive.

    Artificial Stability

    Russia’s financial model is held together by a simple feedback loop:

    Banks buy government bonds. The government spends the money on subsidies, defense, and bureaucracy. The Central Bank injects more liquidity to keep the wheel turning.

    It’s a closed economy in the purest sense — no foreign capital, no competitive lending, no market discipline.

    This structure creates the appearance of stability because money never leaves the system. But without external growth or internal innovation, it’s just motion without progress — a car running in neutral.

    The Turning Point: 12–18 Months Ahead

    Economically, a system like this doesn’t explode — it deflates.

    The breaking point comes when one of three things happens:

    Banks run out of liquidity to keep buying government debt. Inflation erodes confidence in the ruble, and the public abandons the currency entirely. Fiscal pressure — defense spending and subsidies — exceeds what the state can recycle through its own banking system.

    When that moment comes, the economy won’t collapse overnight. It will slowly lose functionality — credit will dry up, the ruble will lose real purchasing power, and official reports will drift further from reality.

    That slow-motion decay is already visible:

    The MOEX stock index is down over 12% year-to-date. Consumer credit approvals have dropped to 20%. Inflation is running higher than official estimates. Economic growth forecasts hover below 1%.

    This is not the start of a collapse — it’s the middle of one.

    Controlled Stagnation

    For now, Russia’s economic managers maintain control through regulation and propaganda. The Central Bank tightens lending rules to avoid a visible crisis, and state media frames stagnation as “resilience.”

    But no economy can run on self-recycled liquidity forever.

    Without new sources of real capital, Russia faces a countdown — 12 to 18 months before the system reaches a point where even internal recycling won’t cover the state’s obligations. After that, the structure may remain, but the substance — growth, trust, liquidity — will be gone.

    In the end, Russia’s economy won’t crash in flames. It will quietly suffocate — a system that funds itself until there’s nothing left to fund.

    ✍️ CryptoMama | Global Market Psychology & Economic Analysis

  • Everyone’s waiting for a massive pump — but it’s not coming. Not yet.

    Here’s the truth: hedge funds are already positioned. The money is there, the liquidity is waiting — but smart money doesn’t pump prices. They accumulate quietly while the crowd argues in the comments.

    Solana will likely keep swinging between £100 and £115 for a while.

    The market is still shaky, holders are uncertain, and both long and short traders are nearly balanced — about 50/50, with shorts slightly dominating.

    This is not a bull run. It’s the calm before allocation.

    If you’re holding, stay calm. If you’re trading, stay sharp.

    The funds will deploy millions, but only after fear and boredom do their job.

    So yes — grab some popcorn and watch.

    Because when patience runs out, that’s when the real move begins.

  • How Binance Moves the Market: The Invisible Liquidation Mechanism

    Every trader who has seen a sudden price crash without any major news has asked: who is behind this, and why now? The truth is that markets often fall not because of bad news, but because of how traders behave—and large players like Binance know how to use that behavior.

    Before the launch of Solana ETFs in October 2025, the market was filled with optimism. Thousands of traders opened long positions with high leverage—10x, 25x, 50x, even 100x. It looked like an easy path to profit, but in reality, it created the perfect setup for manipulation.

    When most traders open high-leverage longs, the chart becomes full of liquidation zones—points where the exchange automatically closes positions if the price drops slightly. For example, if SOL trades at £190, a 50x long might get liquidated near £187. Multiply that by thousands of traders, and you get a powder keg.

    Binance and its market makers have full visibility into where those liquidations sit. They don’t need to change the chart directly—they just need to apply pressure. A few coordinated sell orders start pushing the price down, triggering the first liquidations. Those forced sales push the price even lower, causing a chain reaction known as a liquidation cascade. When the dust settles and panic sets in, the same market makers quietly buy the token back at much lower prices.

    Long traders lose their capital, Binance collects fees and funding payments, and market makers acquire cheap Solana. This isn’t a conspiracy; it’s simply how the system is designed. Exchanges profit from volatility, not stability.

    There are clear signs that such a setup is forming. A sharply positive funding rate means too many traders are long. Rising open interest while the price stagnates means leverage is building up. Large clusters of liquidations visible on Coinglass or similar tools confirm where the next move will likely target.

    When everyone is buying, the market tends to fall. When everyone is scared, it often starts to rise. This isn’t magic—it’s liquidity management. Binance doesn’t destroy markets; it steers them by using predictable human behavior as fuel.

    When everyone sees only growth, expect a shakeout. When everyone is afraid, accumulation has already begun.

    Written by Marta | Crypto Analysis & Market Psychology

  • (my personal view)

    Watching how TRON and the new company Tron Inc. have evolved, I’m more convinced than ever that this project stopped being about a token a long time ago.

    My View

    In my opinion, TRON today is not so much a cryptocurrency as it is a financial infrastructure, generating profit not through the token (TRX) itself, but through its legal and corporate shell — Tron Inc.

    And that is the entire game Justin Sun is playing.

    He built a system that works — stable, cheap, and fast.

    He gave people the feeling that they are “part of the future,”

    but in reality, he moved the real value and control outside the token.

    The Token That Isn’t Meant to Rise

    TRX is excellent technological fuel.

    It powers a stable network, ultra-low fees, and lightning-fast transactions — already a standard for millions of users.

    But from an investment standpoint, it’s a trap.

    TRX intentionally stays cheap, at around $0.33 per coin,

    and it will likely remain that way — because low price is the foundation of how TRON works.

    If TRX suddenly shot up to $10, transaction fees would explode,

    and TRON would lose its greatest advantage — affordability.

    That’s why Justin will never allow the token to truly rise.

    Because it simply isn’t in his interest.

    Instead, the Real Bet Is on Tron Inc.

    While holders keep TRX, hoping for the “next big move,”

    Justin is betting elsewhere.

    Through the reverse merger with SRM Entertainment in June 2025, he created Tron Inc. — a public company that holds TRX in its treasury and trades on Nasdaq.

    And that’s where the real profits lie.

    Tron Inc. can attract institutional money, sell shares, and generate income through asset management —

    and none of this directly affects the price of TRX.

    In other words:

    TRON gives the people a token,

    and keeps the company — and the profits — for itself.

    The Reality to Accept

    TRX isn’t a scam or a failure.

    It’s simply a different kind of game.

    It wasn’t built for speculation — it was built for stability.

    And while people believe in a future price explosion,

    Justin profits from what already works — every transaction, every USDT transfer, every promise of a “new TRON era.”

    Conclusion

    TRON is not about growth, it’s about control.

    TRX is not an investment, it’s a tool.

    Tron Inc. is the real business — where shares matter more than the token.

    No matter how you look at it, one thing is clear:

    he didn’t build a crypto for holders.

    He built an economy for himself.

  • Before I ever bought my first token, I watched the market for years.

    Yes — years.

    I saw Bitcoin at £13,000 and thought,

    “That’s it. It can’t possibly double from here.”

    But every time it climbed higher, I told myself,

    “Now this is definitely the top.”

    I didn’t understand the forces behind the market — things like ETF approvals, which can suddenly send Bitcoin flying.

    So what is an ETF?

    Think of it like this:

    An ETF (Exchange-Traded Fund) is a way for people to invest in crypto like they invest in stocks — without actually buying crypto themselves.

    When a Bitcoin ETF is approved, it means big banks and institutions can safely buy into Bitcoin.

    And when the big money enters the room?

    Prices move fast.

    That’s exactly what happened.

    Bitcoin didn’t just double.

    It exploded — reaching over £60,000.

    And it wasn’t magic. It wasn’t luck.

    It was timing, research, and knowing what signs to watch for.

    The Myth of “Buy and Forget”

    When I started, I believed what many beginners believe:

    That I’d find the next Bitcoin early — a little-known startup token — buy it, forget it for a few years, and wake up rich.

    But that’s not how it works.

    Crypto isn’t a lottery.

    And it’s not a horse race.

    It’s a constantly moving market full of signals — some real, some noise.

    You have to watch. You have to check.

    Especially if you’re investing in a real project — not just a meme.

    What You’ll Never Hear in a £1000 Crypto Course

    Here’s what those overpriced “get rich with crypto” courses often won’t tell you:

    • You must monitor the team.

    Is the project still building? Are there updates? Or has the Twitter account gone silent?

    • You must check the market.

    Are people actually buying the token? Or is it being pumped and dumped?

    • You must understand the mood.

    Is the market full of hope or fear?

    Are we at a bottom… or are we climbing toward an unrealistic high?

    How to Actually See the Market

    Let me break it down:

    • Trading Volume (24h):

    The total amount traded in a day. If it’s dropping, interest may be fading.

    • Order Books:

    Look at Coinbase Advanced or Binance.

    You’ll see buyers and sellers in real time.

    Huge red walls? That’s resistance — people trying to sell at that price.

    Huge green walls? Support — buyers holding the price up.

    • Timing is everything.

    If everyone is screaming about a token on social media — it’s probably already too late.

    Why You Should Avoid Buying in the Hype

    Because you’re buying someone else’s profit.

    When a token is trending, when everyone is saying “Buy now!” —

    that’s often when early investors are quietly selling to people who arrive late.

    Instead:

    • Look when the market is quiet.

    • Study the project’s roadmap.

    • Watch what the big wallets are doing.

    • Buy when it feels boring. That’s usually where the gold is.

    Conclusion

    Crypto will never reward you for being loud or fast.

    It rewards those who are curious, patient, and prepared.

    I didn’t pay £1000 for a course.

    I paid it to the market — with time, research, and a few hard mistakes.

    But what I learned?

    That’s worth far more.

    By CryptoMama

    Swindon 2025